Microsoft CEO brags, AI model performance is "doubling every 6 months"

Photograph of Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella.

For decades, Moore's Law has been the official-unofficial pulse of progress in tech. First observed by Gordon Moore in 1965, it forecast the doubling of transistors in microchips roughly every two years, setting the pace for performance and innovation in computing like clockwork.

But AI is a far more chaotic space, where progress is much harder to measure. Transistors aren't the only thing beating a path into uncharted territory. Here, the metrics of progress are marked by models, not only microchips.