Michigan's presidential voting history has seen significant shifts over the past few decades. From 1972 to 1988, the state consistently voted for Republican candidates. However, starting in 1992 and continuing until Donald Trump's victory in 2016, Michigan leaned towards Democratic candidates, becoming part of the 'blue wall' along with 17 other states and Washington, D.C.
In 2016, Trump managed to narrowly flip the state in favor of Republicans, winning by a margin of 0.2% against Hillary Clinton. This marked a departure from Michigan's Democratic trend. However, in the 2020 election, Joe Biden reclaimed the state for the Democrats, defeating Trump by a margin of 2.8%.
Not only have the party affiliations shifted in Michigan, but the margins of victory have also fluctuated. In 2012, Barack Obama won the state by nearly 10%, while the combined margin of victory for the 2016 and 2020 elections was only 3%. This indicates a trend towards closer races in the state.
Michigan's status as a battleground state is underscored by its 15 electoral votes, making it a crucial prize for presidential candidates. The state's unpredictable voting patterns and narrow margins of victory highlight the importance of campaigning effectively in Michigan to secure electoral success.