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Donald Heflin, Executive Director of the Edward R. Murrow Center and Senior Fellow of Diplomatic Practice, The Fletcher School, Tufts University

Despite massive US attack and death of ayatollah, regime change in Iran is unlikely

A group of demonstrators in Tehran wave Iranian flags in support of the government on Feb. 28, 2026 AP Photo/Vahid Salemi

After the largest buildup of U.S. warships and aircraft in the Middle East in decades, American and Israeli military forces launched a massive assault on Iran on Feb. 28, 2026.

President Donald Trump has called the attacks “major combat operations” and has urged regime change in Tehran. Iranian media reported Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in the strikes.

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