Volatility has eased in recent days as the market digests the tech sector continues to lead the way. However, volatility could rear its ugly head again at any time.
The VIX Index closed at 18.92 yesterday after hitting a high of 35 in early March.
If volatility rises again Long Straddles could work well, so today we’re taking a look at the Long Straddle Screener.
A long straddle is an advanced options strategy used when a trader is seeking to profit from a big move in either direction and / or an increase in implied volatility.
To execute the strategy, a trader would buy a call and a put with the following conditions:
- Both options must use the same underlying stock
- Both options must have the same expiration
- Both options must have the same strike price
Since it involves having to buy both a call and a put, the trader must pay two premiums up-front, which also happens to be the maximum possible loss.
The potential profit is theoretically unlimited, although the trade will lose money each day through time decay if a big move does not occur.
The position means you will start with a net debit and only profit when the underlying stock rises above the upper break-even point or falls below the lower break-even point.
Profits can be made with a smaller price move if the move happens early in the trade.
Let’s take a look at Barchart’s Long Straddle Screener for April 23rd. I have added a filter for Market Cap above 40b and total call volume above 5,000.
The screener shows some interesting long straddle trades on popular stocks such as KO, NVDA, AXP, AAPL, DAL and NOW. Let’s walk through a couple of examples.
KO Long Straddle Example
Let’s take a look at the second line item – a long straddle on KO.
Using the May 15th expiry, the trade would involve buying the $75-strike call and the $75-strike put. The premium paid for the trade would be $343, which is also the maximum loss. The maximum profit is theoretically unlimited. The lower breakeven price is $71.57 and the upper breakeven price is $78.43.
The probability of profit is estimated at 43.1%.
The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.
Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.
NVDA Long Straddle Example
Let’s take a look at the third line item – a long straddle on NVDA.
Also using the May 15th expiry, the trade would involve buying the $205-strike call and the $205-strike put. The premium paid for the trade would be $1,430, which is also the maximum loss. The maximum profit is theoretically unlimited. The lower breakeven price is $190.70 and the upper breakeven price is $219.30.
The probability of profit is estimated at 43.0%.
The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.
Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.
DAL Long Straddle Example
Let’s take a look at one final straddle, a long straddle on DAL.
Using the June 18th expiry, the trade would involve buying the $70-strike call and the $70-strike put. The premium paid for the trade would be $980, which is also the maximum loss. The maximum profit is theoretically unlimited. The lower breakeven price is $60.20 and the upper breakeven price is $79.80.
The probability of profit is estimated at 42.6%.
The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.
Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.
Mitigating Risk
Long straddles can lose money fairly quickly if the stock stay flat, and / or if implied volatility drops.
Position sizing is important so that a large loss does not cause more than a 1-2% loss in total portfolio value.
Another good rule of thumb is a 20-30% stop loss.
Please remember that options are risky, and investors can lose 100% of their investment. This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
