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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Holly Evans and Kate Devlin

Local elections 2026 live: New poll shows Labour could lose control of Wales for the first time

Red Cross Zack Polanski Green Party Golders Green the British Red Cross Police
First minister of Wales Eluned Morgan said Sir Keir Starmer’s leadership had been ‘an issue on the doorstep’ (Matthew Horrwood/PA) - (PA Wire)

Labour are predicted to lose Wales for the first time with the latest poll predicting Sir Keir Starmer’s party to drop to third place in the Senedd.

The latest and final YouGov poll in this election, published on Tuesday, forecast Plaid Cymru to win 43 seats in the Senedd, pulling ahead of Reform on 34 seats and Labour on 12.

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