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The Conversation
The Conversation
Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

Labor retains big lead in Newspoll and all other federal polls

Labor retains a large lead in three new national polls including Newspoll, while many more voters thought Labor’s 2035 emissions reduction target too ambitious rather than not ambitious enough.

A national Newspoll, conducted September 29 to October 2 from a sample of 1,264, gave Labor a 57–43 lead, a one-point gain for the Coalition since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago.

Primary votes were 37% Labor (up one), 28% Coalition (up one), 12% Greens (down one), 11% One Nation (up one) and 12% for all Others (down two). It’s the highest primary vote for Labor since June 2023, while the Coalition’s primary vote has recovered one point from a record low last time.

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