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Politics
Andy Marks, Pro Vice-Chancellor, Strategy, Government and Alliances, Western Sydney University

Labor is odds-on for a narrow victory in NSW election, but it is far from a sure bet

Bianca de Marchi/AAP

A gambler would probably feel the odds favour a Labor win at the upcoming New South Wales election. But, as Scott Morrison proved in 2019, underdog status is prized in politics. Favouritism brings its own challenges, especially when the game takes an unanticipated twist. In this setting, the wide path to victory can quickly become a narrow track to defeat.

NSW voters go to the booths on March 25 with Premier Dominic Perrottet seeking to lock in 16 years of Liberal-National incumbency. The Labor opposition under Chris Minns is polling well. Despite this, Perrottet isn’t playing to type.

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