
Voters in a ring of congressional districts encircling New York City, where Republican candidates historically perform well but Donald Trump faced challenges in 2020, may play a pivotal role in determining which party controls the U.S. House in the upcoming election cycle.
Eleven districts within a 90-mile radius of Manhattan are anticipated to be among the most closely contested House races on Election Day. Currently, Republicans hold a narrow 6-5 advantage in this nearly contiguous circle that spans from Long Island suburbs through western Connecticut, New York's Hudson River Valley, Catskills regions, and into northeast Pennsylvania before looping back into New Jersey.