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The Economic Times
The Economic Times

JPMorgan warns super El Niño and oil shock could prop up global inflation

A rapidly intensifying El Nino weather pattern combined with higher energy prices could add 0.3 percentage points to global inflation next year, hitting emerging markets particularly hard, ‌JPMorgan economists said ⁠in a ⁠report on Friday.

Forecasts currently point to an 81% probability that the current El Nino episode develops into a "very strong" ​or "super" El Nino by the end of the year and a 97% chance that the conditions persist into next ​year.

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