There is a point in every NFL season when you should stop being surprised. That time is now. Stop doubting the Jets and Giants. Stop thinking teams with established track records and/or quarterbacks (see: Packers and Broncos) can automatically flip a switch. Take what you’ve seen over the first month-plus, not what you thought you’d see or are still expecting to see.
Underdogs went 8-6 against the spread (ATS) last week and are 51-42-1 for the season.
My most confident picks ATS this week are New England, the Jets and Kansas City. There are no true stay-away games, but be careful with Green Bay-Washington.