Week 1 is always the most difficult to pick NFL games. Just look at my record (3-12-1 overall, 1-0 best bets). Wait, please don't. Week 2, however, can be one of the best ones. Why? It's all about overreactions. Some lines move a point or two too many because of the public making too much out of one game.
Favorites went 8-7-1 against the spread in Week 1. Interestingly, six of the seven underdogs that covered won outright. Home teams went 8-8 straight up and 9-6-1 ATS.
My three most confident picks this week ATS are Baltimore, Kansas City and Arizona. One to stay away from: New Orleans at Las Vegas on Monday Night Football.