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Joe Manniello

Joe Manniello's Week 18 NFL picks

Week 18 presents a big challenge. Unlike past Week 17s, there aren’t as many playoff-implication games, but still plenty of, "Who’s resting? Who’s playing? And for how long?" questions. With so much uncertainty, the smart play is to just focus on one or two games where the playing field is even. Let us get all the other games wrong.

Underdogs went 7-9 against the spread (ATS) last week and have lost their season lead after once having a huge advantage. Favorites are 127-126-2.

My most confident picks ATS this week are Tampa Bay, Kansas City and the L.A. Chargers. Stay away from many, especially Dallas-Philadelphia and Cincinnati-Cleveland.

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