If someone tells you they have the NFL figured out, please refer them to Week 10 of the 2019 season. The one-win Jets, Dolphins and Falcons went 3-0 after going a combined 3-21 the first two months.
Two of them won as double-digit road underdogs, proving again that it often pays to fade favorites. Underdogs went 9-3-1 against the spread last week and are 85-61-2 this season. A whopping eight underdogs won outright in Week 10. This is shaping up to be another big week for the 'dogs, so bettors beware. In fact, I'm taking 11 underdogs, a personal record.
My most confident picks ATS this week are the Bears, Vikings and Bucs. There aren't many stay-away games, but Patriots-Eagles and Jets-Redskins could be tricky ones.
