Week 10 was, well, a 10 for your favorite NFL picks columnist, as my 10-4 record against the spread (ATS) was the first time I’ve hit double digits in wins since Week 1. If you’re picking every game every week, this is the time of year when you should have learned enough about certain teams and certain situations that give you good reads that can beat the ‘books.
Underdogs went 9-5 ATS last week, with six winning outright, to continue a hot stretch. They’re 27-15 ATS over the last three weeks and 82-65-2 for the season.
My most confident picks ATS this week are Cincinnati, New Orleans, Pittsburgh and Chicago. There aren’t any true "stay-away" games, but avoid Arizona-Seattle because of the Cardinals’ injury uncertainty.
