The world feels as if it’s changing by the day, but one thing remains the same: The NFL is as unpredictable as ever. Week 1 is especially tough, with new faces in new places and so much unknown. My best advice: Pick. Your. Spots. There’s nothing wrong with even sitting out the first week and letting us get all the games wrong.
Underdogs bark the loudest in the first month-plus, so keep that in mind. Vegas knows what it’s doing, but even the books need an adjustment period. Expect a lot of close finishes.
My most confident picks against the spread are the Packers, Seahawks and Jets. Stay away from Jaguars-Texans.