COLTS (6-4) AT TEXANS (6-4)
TV: Fox, NFL, 8:20 p.m.
Line: Texans by 3.5; O/U: 45.5
In Week 7, this was one of the most difficult games to pick. It's the same story in Week 12 with first place in the AFC South on the line.
The Colts won the first meeting, 30-23, as Jacoby Brissett threw for 326 yards and four touchdowns. Deshaun Watson had just one TD pass and was intercepted twice. Watson is coming off one of his worst games in a 41-7 loss at Baltimore, so my first thought was to back him and the Texans. But this has been a one-sided rivalry and the Colts are getting points.
The Colts own the Texans: 28-8 all-time record, including three in a row. Two of those wins were at Houston last season, including in the playoffs. Yes, those were with Andrew Luck, but Brissett has proved to be a quality starter and Indy still has Frank Reich, a dominant offensive line and a defense that has contained Watson.
The pick: Colts
