Depending on who you ask, Joe Burrow might have the best arm in the NFL, and Kalshi seems to agree with that. Kalshi’s NFL 4k passing yard market has Burrow right at the top of the board and expects his fourth 4k+ yard season of his career.
Burrow sits at a 62% chance to go for 4,000 yards during the regular season. Kalshi only looks at the regular season when grading this market. Burrow is one of three quarterbacks on the board with a price over 50% to throw for over 4,000 yards. A $10 trade on Burrow going for 4,000 yards profits $6.20.