Less than two months out from the NBA regular season, Jalen Duren remains a restricted free agent. Kalshi’s NBA market suggests that the Detroit Pistons will end up re-signing the All-Star center following his career-best scoring season.
Duren has a 91% chance to remain with the Pistons, while every other team on the board has less than a 10% chance of acquiring him. Kalshi settles the market based on which team Duren is with by October 21, a day after the regular season begins. A $10 trade on Duren staying with the Pistons profits just $.85.