The recent attack on a Moscow concert hall by ISIS-K has brought to light the ongoing threat of Islamist terrorism and the group's expanding ambitions beyond its strongholds in Afghanistan. ISIS-K, an autonomous 'province' of the Islamic State, has demonstrated its ability to launch attacks not only in Afghanistan but also in Pakistan, Iran, and central Asia.
With an estimated strength of 4,000 to 6,000 fighters, ISIS-K has been led by Sanaullah Ghafari since 2020 and has shown resilience in the face of efforts by the Taliban and the United States to eliminate it from eastern Afghanistan. The group has been responsible for various attacks, including the devastating suicide bombing at Kabul airport in 2021.
ISIS-K has also expanded its reach to South and Central Asia, with ambitions to target Russia, western Europe, and the United States. European security agencies have been on high alert, especially after recent arrests in Germany and the foiled plot to attack Sweden's parliament.
The group's propaganda efforts have attracted individuals from Western nations, posing a risk of radicalized individuals carrying out attacks in their home countries. ISIS-K's disdain for Russia, stemming from historical conflicts and current geopolitical tensions, has raised concerns about potential attacks within Russian borders.
Following the Moscow attack, France has heightened its terrorist threat level in preparation for the upcoming Olympics. Experts warn of the growing capabilities of ISIS-K and the need for vigilance to prevent further attacks in Europe and beyond.