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The Guardian - US
The Guardian - US
Comment
Robert Reich

Is the US heading for a recession? Here’s what you need to know

US-STOCKS-markets<br>Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange June 15, 2022 in New York as the US Federal Reserve announces a hike in interest rates. - he Federal Reserve announced the most aggressive interest rate increase in nearly 30 years, raising the benchmark borrowing rate by 0.75 percentage points on June 15 as it battles against surging inflation. The Fed's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee reaffirmed that it remains
‘Why are we heading toward a recession?’ Photograph: Timothy A Clary/AFP/Getty Images

Last Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released its May Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which showed inflation worsening. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve responded by raising interest rates by three-quarters of a point. Yet the bigger story, and bigger worry, is not inflation. It’s the distinct possibility of recession. Or perhaps both (what’s termed “stagflation.”) Here are some frequently asked questions:

1. Is the US heading for a recession? Many signs point in that direction. New home construction slowed in April. Mortgage demand continues to decline. Some of the country’s largest and most influential retailers are reporting disappointing sales and profits. The stock market is in bear territory. Futures markets are signaling trouble ahead.

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