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Kritika Sarmah

Is Progressive Stock Outperforming the Nasdaq?

The Progressive Corporation (PGR), headquartered in Ohio, is a major auto insurer in the U.S. and a leading independent agency for private passenger auto coverage and motorcycle products since 1998. With a market cap of $122.1 billion, its personal lines segment offers insurance for private passenger automobiles, recreational and other vehicles, while its commercial lines segment provides liability and physical damage insurance for small business automobiles and trucks, primarily through the independent agency channel.

Companies worth $10 billion or more are generally described as “large-cap stocks,” and Progressive Corporation fits right into that category. Its market cap exceeds this threshold, reflecting its substantial size, stability, and influence in the auto insurance sector. Renowned for sophisticated underwriting and customer-focused initiatives, Progressive prioritizes profitability over premium growth. Its success is bolstered by dynamic pricing strategies fueled by data and effective marketing campaigns, solidifying its leading position in the industry.

Despite its strength, Progressive Corporation stock is down 4.3% from its 52-week high of $217.77, achieved on May 8. Moreover, shares of Progressive Corporation have gained 6% over the past three months, underperforming the broader Nasdaq Composite’s ($NASX) 8.3% gains over the same time frame.

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However, over the long term, PGR stock has surged 30.9% on a YTD basis and 59.3% over the past 52 weeks, surpassing NASX’s 15.5% surge in 2024 and 30.8% gains over the past year.

To validate its bullish trend, PGR stock has been trading consistently above the 100-day and 200-day moving average since early September.

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Progressive Corporation's consistent returns over the past year can be attributed to the steady demand for insurance, which is driven by regulatory requirements for coverage and individuals' aversion to loss. Shares of Progressive Corporation surged after the company reported Q1 earnings results on April 12. 

Yet, Progressive Corporation has maintained strong momentum, surpassing its main competitor, The Allstate Corporation (ALL). Shares of Allstate have gained 44.3% over the past year and 15.5% on a YTD basis.

Furthermore, analysts are bullish on the stock's outlook. Among the nine analysts covering the stock, Progressive Corporation stock has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy,” and the mean price target of $231.20 reflects a premium of 10.9% to current levels.

On the date of publication, Kritika Sarmah did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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