Weather models are showing a glorious plume of warm air heading for Ireland next week in a rare November blast of heat.
Temperatures could hit the mid or even high teens next week in Ireland during the unseasonable upturn in weather fortunes with Met Éireann saying there is "growing confidence in high pressure building" from the East.
Mild weather will be driven by high pressure stretching from Eastern Europe towards the weatern edge of Europe, giving Britain and Ireland some much-needed dry weather.
Read More : Met Eireann warn of thunderstorms but hint that temperatures could hit 17C
The pushing of heat our way is called a retrogression effect as weather features typically move from west to east. The change in weather patterns will also dry up the rain and bring a mini-Indian summer blast of warmth to parts of the country.
Met Éireann's forecast for next week says: "There is growing confidence in high pressure building over Ireland from the east which, while maintaining above average temperatures, should lead to lower rainfall and more settled conditions overall and the flow will be south to southeasterly.
"The potential for warning will reduce and the land will have time to recover from weeks of above average rainfall. Hazards may include an increase potential for fog as winds will be lighter overall."
A UK Met Office meteorologist said: “Through the middle of November, there is a trend for high pressure coming in from the continent and starting to take over.”
A ‘dome of warmth’ which will drive the warm spell will be thrust towards Britain and Ireland from the Continent by the jet stream.
John Hammond, meteorologist for Weathertrending, said: “The recent dip in temperatures won’t last long.
“The jet stream’s path is set to push a dome of warmth up across western Europe.
“A moist and mild subtropical airflow will lift daytime highs back up into the mid-teens quite widely as we head into the new week, despite a good deal of cloud and some rain at times.”
The reprieve from the weather Gods may be short lived in Ireland as Met Éireann says the signal for the third week in November from November 21 is "weaker with high pressure expected to still be in command but moving to the west of Ireland."
"This will produce a predominantly north to northwest airflow, and be drier than average again, but temperatures will fall closer to average with an increased chance of frosty nights and a continued, if somewhat diminished chance of fog," they added.
Looking at the last week in November, from the 28th, Met Éireann foresees "a more settled spell" once again with high pressure shifting to the north-northwest of Ireland.
"This will introduce a northeast to east airflow over Ireland and keep temperatures close to average. While it will remain drier than average the potential for frosty nights and fog will continue," their forecast concluded.
In the meantime, the weather this week will remain changeable with showers continuing tonight before "easing slightly and gradually becoming more confined to the western half of the country. Lowest temperatures of 5 to 8 degrees in moderate southwest winds."
Met Éireann says there will be "bright spells and scattered showers on Wednesday morning, the showers mainly affecting the west. The showers will become more isolated by afternoon. However, cloud will build from the west through the afternoon and evening with outbreaks of rain and drizzle developing in Atlantic coastal counties. Highest temperatures of 11 to 14 degrees in strengthening southwest winds."
Thursday is expected to be mild, humid and blustery with outbreaks of rain and drizzle. Highest temperatures of 14 to 17 degrees in fresh to strong southwest winds.
Thursday night will be "cloudy with rain turning more persistent and possibly heavy at times with a risk of localised flooding." It will be a very mild night with lowest temperatures of 13 to 15 degrees in moderate to fresh southerly winds.
Friday will be another mild and cloudy day with outbreaks of rain, most persistent and heaviest over the western half of the country with localised flooding, according to the latest forecast.
"Rain will continue into Friday night with an ongoing risk of flooding. Lowest temperatures of 12 to 14 degrees with southerly winds easing moderate.
"On Saturday, rain will mostly be confined to the western half of the country with some drier spells developing further to the east. Highest temperatures of 14 to 16 degrees in moderate southeast to south winds.
"Current indications suggest that Sunday and the early days of next week will bring further showers and spells of rain."
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