Military experts have raised alarms over the possibility of Iran declaring itself a nuclear power this year, citing the uncertain political landscape in the United States. The Heritage Foundation's James Carafano expressed that Iran might seize this moment, especially with the U.S. presidential election in contention.
The Biden administration has repeatedly cautioned about Iran's nuclear ambitions, with Secretary of State Antony Blinken highlighting Iran's proximity to achieving nuclear breakout capacity. The collapse of the Iran Nuclear Deal has been attributed to Iran's accelerated nuclear development.
The U.S. State Department has affirmed its commitment to preventing Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons, emphasizing the use of all national power to ensure this outcome.
Carafano emphasized the strategic advantage Iran could gain by declaring itself a nuclear power, leveraging the perceived deterrence and defense capabilities associated with possessing nuclear weapons.
Retired Lt. Gen. Charles Moore echoed the concerns, acknowledging the limited practicality of declaring nuclear capabilities without the ability to effectively deploy and employ nuclear weapons.
While nuclear weapons serve as a deterrent against nuclear conflict, experts caution that they have limited utility in conventional warfare scenarios. The potential ripple effect of Iran's nuclear declaration could prompt neighboring countries to pursue their own nuclear programs.
Behnam Ben Taleblu highlighted Iran's historical pursuit of nuclear weapons for status and security reasons, underscoring the intricate political and technical processes involved in weaponization decisions.
As Iran's nuclear advancements continue, the international community remains vigilant, with speculation that Tehran may seek to solidify its gains in anticipation of potential shifts in U.S. leadership.
In conclusion, the intersection of Iran's nuclear ambitions, U.S. political dynamics, and global security concerns underscores the complex and delicate balance of power in the region.