Iran is not likely to respond directly against Israel but may use its proxies following the death of a top commander of the Revolutionary Guards Corps in an Israeli airstrike on the Iranian embassy in Damascus. The strike, reportedly targeting the consulate, is expected to prompt a response from Iran, possibly through targeting Israelis overseas or leveraging militias like Hezbollah, the Houthis, and others.
The strike, which flattened Iran's consulate and reportedly killed several diplomats, comes amid increased Israeli strikes on Iranian-backed targets in Syria. Experts suggest that Israel's escalation signals a readiness for direct confrontation with Iran, rather than continuing the proxy conflict.