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Fortune

Jim Edwards

Investors are ignoring the coming wave of tariff-driven inflation, Deutsche Bank warns

Inflation Deutsche Bank Donald Trump ISM Henry Allen The Conference Board

(Credit: Aaron Schwartz—CNP/Bloomberg)

Investors are underestimating the inflation risk of President Trump’s tariffs, which will push up import costs, according to Deutsche Bank. One indicator forecasts that U.S. inflation may soon exceed 4%. Consumers are also expecting higher prices. But the inflation swaps market has yet to reflect these risks, analyst Henry Allen says.

One of the central mysteries inside President Trump’s tariff plan: Where is the inflation?

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