If you follow the leader, Labor’s election campaign in Queensland looks unremarkable. The premier, Steven Miles, has set up camp in north and central Queensland, touring regional tipping-point seats that historically decide who forms government.
But out on the hustings, with polls suggesting Labor is on track for a heavy defeat, a fallback strategy is already playing out. Labor’s volunteers have been clustered in places like Waterford – margin 16% – sandbagging to protect the party’s next generation of leaders.