Banks are likely to report their strongest credit growth momentum in years in upcoming Q2 results, but the headline expansion comes with a catch. FCNR(B) deposits have lifted funding and helped accelerate loan books, while the resulting liquidity surplus, lower CASA ratios and higher deposit costs are expected to squeeze net interest margins (NIMs).
That tension is set to define the sector’s Q2F earnings season: stronger loan growth and lower credit costs on one side, but weaker margins and a less favourable funding mix on the other.