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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Larry Elliott Economics editor

If UK inflation feels bad now, the grim news is worse is on the way

employee works on the SafetyKleen production line at the Tharsus factory in Blyth
Goods leaving the factory gates increased at an annual rate of 15.7% up from 14.7% in April. The ONS says this is the steepest rise in 45 years. Photograph: Bloomberg/Getty Images

Are we there yet? Each month the same question is asked about the UK’s inflation rate. Is there any sign of the cost of living crisis abating? And each month the answer is in the negative. The current upward trend has further to go.

May’s increase in the consumer prices index – the government’s preferred measure of inflation – was modest by recent standards but even so the rise from 9% to 9.1% was a new 40-year-high.

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