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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Phillip Inman

If Putin wins in Ukraine, the British economy will be in the firing line

Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping review a guard of honour in Beijing on 16 May.
Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping review a guard of honour in Beijing on 16 May. Photograph: AFP/Getty Images

Vladimir Putin is digging deep to win the war with Ukraine. And it could be only months before the tide turns in his favour. If he pummels Ukraine into submission, a military victory will quickly become a wider economic disaster, which is why we under­estimate at our peril how much we need to focus on the war.

The Russian leader, who was inaugurated for a fifth term as president a fortnight ago, ditched his old friend and defence minister Sergei Shoigu on Monday in favour of an economist to make sure Moscow’s war machine runs more efficiently. That economist, Andrei Belousov, has been likened to Albert Speer, the architect who served as the minister of armaments and war production in Nazi Germany.

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