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Hurricane Milton Shifts South, Tampa Bay Area At Risk

This satellite image from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration taken at 11:36pm ET on Sunday, Oct. 6, 2024, shows Hurricane Milton. (NOAA via AP)

Recent updates on Hurricane Milton's trajectory indicate a shift in its landfall forecast, bringing the major hurricane closer to the Sarasota area rather than the southern portion of the Tampa Bay region. The storm is expected to make landfall as a Category 3 hurricane, posing significant risks to the affected areas.

The adjustment in the storm's path could potentially lessen the impact on the Tampa Bay area, offering a glimmer of hope in avoiding a worst-case scenario. The storm surge forecast for Tampa Bay has been revised to a maximum of 12 feet, down from the initial projection of up to 15 feet, due to the updated track.

Despite the hurricane's weakening intensity, it is noteworthy that the storm is expanding in size. Tropical-storm force winds have extended from 20 miles to 125 miles from the center in the past 24 hours, indicating a broader reach of its destructive effects. The tropical-storm force winds are anticipated to cover the entire width of the Florida peninsula.

Category 3 hurricane expected to make landfall.
Hurricane Milton's landfall forecast shifts towards Sarasota.
Tampa Bay may see reduced impact due to updated track.

The outer bands of Hurricane Milton have already begun affecting the region, with tropical storm-force winds and heavy rainfall intensifying throughout the day. Florida officials have emphasized the urgency of evacuation, highlighting the rapidly diminishing window for residents to leave the at-risk areas.

Key points to note include:

  • Tropical storm conditions are set to commence around midday in the hurricane warning zones.
  • Hurricane conditions are expected to manifest in parts of Florida by this evening.
  • Hurricane force winds may extend up to 30 miles from the storm's center.
  • Tropical storm force winds could reach outward up to 125 miles.
  • Some areas may experience over a foot of rainfall due to the storm.

The next storm advisory is scheduled for 11 a.m. ET on Wednesday, providing further updates on Hurricane Milton's progression and potential impacts.

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