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Hurricane Milton's Trajectory Shifts South, Tampa Still At Risk

Owners try to secure their boat at the Davis Islands Yacht Clubs ahead a possible landfall by Hurricane Milton, Monday, Oct. 7, 2024, in Tampa, Fla. (AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)

The Tampa Bay area, known for its vulnerability to hurricanes, is currently on high alert as Hurricane Milton approaches. While the storm has taken a southern shift in its forecast, residents are urged not to let their guard down.

Meteorologists emphasize the unpredictability of hurricane tracks, with significant impacts often occurring outside the projected cone of uncertainty. The National Hurricane Center's cone is designed to capture the storm's path accurately only two-thirds of the time, leaving room for potential deviations.

As Hurricane Milton heads towards a potential landfall near Sarasota, areas to the south are at risk of experiencing the worst storm surge. Locations like Sarasota, Venice, Port Charlotte, and Punta Gorda could bear the brunt of the surge, while Tampa Bay may see water levels decrease due to wind patterns.

National Hurricane Center cone captures storm path accurately two-thirds of the time.
Residents urged to remain vigilant despite current southern forecast shift.
Sarasota and areas to the south at risk of worst storm surge.

Despite the current trajectory placing the storm south of Tampa, the city remains within the cone of uncertainty. While this positioning may spare Tampa from the worst of the surge, the region still faces a significant threat from hurricane-force winds and heavy rainfall.

Forecasters warn that Hurricane Milton is expected to intensify as it nears landfall, potentially impacting a large portion of the Florida Peninsula. Uncertainty remains regarding the storm's exact path, with the possibility of further shifts in direction.

Residents in the Tampa Bay area are advised to stay informed, prepare for potential evacuation orders, and take necessary precautions to ensure their safety in the face of this looming threat.

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