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Shares of Arm Holdings plc (ARM) are back in the spotlight after a rare and aggressive vote of confidence from HSBC, which double-upgraded the chip designer from “Reduce” to “Buy” while more than doubling its price target to $205. The bullish call reflects a growing belief that Arm is no longer just a smartphone-dependent licensing business, but a central player in the next wave of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. HSBC explicitly framed Arm as a “game-changing” beneficiary of AI server CPUs.
HSBC highlighted the accelerating adoption of Arm’s newer v9 architecture and Neoverse platforms by hyperscalers, which is boosting royalty rates per chip and expanding its addressable market. Plus, expectations for rapid growth in AI-driven server CPU demand, with industry shipments projected to jump sharply versus prior years, are driving a step-change in long-term revenue potential, including forecasts for server CPU royalties to grow at a 76% CAGR until 2031 and reach roughly $4 billion.