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Politics
Daniel J. Mallinson, Associate Professor of Public Policy and Administration, Penn State

How Trump won Pennsylvania − and what the numbers from key counties show about the future of a pivotal swing state

People gather at McGillin's Olde Ale House in Philadelphia as election results trickle in. Ed Jones/AFP via Getty Images

Pennsylvania was for months considered the key swing state that would decide the 2024 election. Candidates, political parties and advocacy groups spent over US$1 billion courting the commonwealth’s small number of persuadable voters.

We now know that former – and now future – President Donald Trump carried the state by the largest margin of the past three presidential elections. He won in 2016 by 0.72%, and Biden won in 2020 by 1.2%. Two days after Election Day, Trump has a 2% lead on Harris.

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