Arsenal's top-four chances have taken a hit since returning to action after the international break. Back-to-back defeats at the hands of Crystal Palace and Brighton means Tottenham Hotspur now have the advantage and they'll be hopeful that a predicted final 2021/22 Premier League table does not become a reality.
After beating Aston Villa the Gunners were in control of their own destiny with regards to the top-four race. But those aforementioned defeats have left them trailing Spurs by three points with a game in hand - albeit away at Chelsea next Wednesday - and with the North London Derby still to be played.
In the light of the weekend's results where Tottenham took advantage of Arsenal's surprise loss at home to Brighton, the website FiveThirtyEight are now backing Antonio Conte's side to win the top-four battle with a 65% probability of qualifying for the Champions League.