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Barchart

Andrew Hecht

How Low Can Crude Oil’s Price Fall?

Oil Nymex United States Russia Barchart Energy Policy OPEC Ukraine

In my October 28, 2025, recap of the energy sector in Q3 on Barchart, I concluded with:

Crude oil is the leading energy commodity that continues to power the world. U.S. energy policy, OPEC+ production increases, seasonality, and the potential for a more peaceful Middle East favor lower crude oil prices in Q4. A move below the $55.12 critical technical support on the continuous NYMEX crude oil futures contract could ignite substantial technical selling, leading to a test of the $50 per barrel level, or lower. Oil products, coal, and ethanol are likely to follow crude oil prices over the coming weeks and months.

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