The Mosaic Company’s (MOS) headquarter sits in Tampa, Florida, powering fields and industries with its phosphate and potash products. The company operates mines and production facilities that turn raw materials into fertilizers, animal feed ingredients, and specialty nutrients.
With a market capitalization hovering near $11.4 billion, Mosaic occupies the “large-cap” tier, reserved for companies with size, stability, and reach. Its offerings extend beyond core nutrients to blended fertilizers and related products, while production plants, storage, and distribution systems operate in sync to meet demand.
MOS currently trades roughly 6% below its 52-week high of $38.23, set in July. Over the past three months, the stock has inched up 1.1%, closely tracking the modest gains of VanEck Agribusiness ETF (MOO).
Looking at the past 52 weeks, MOS has gained 40.4%, while year-to-date it has risen 46.2%. By contrast, MOO has edged down slightly over the same 52-week period but still shows a 14.4% gain so far this year, highlighting MOS’ stronger momentum.
Since mid-August, MOS had lingered below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling a bearish stretch. In recent days, however, the stock has reclaimed ground, trading comfortably above both averages of $33.93 and $30.45, respectively, suggesting a renewed bullish trend and a pickup in market momentum.
However, investors felt the sting on August 6, when MOS shares plunged about 13.3% following disappointing Q2 fiscal 2025 earnings. Revenue grew 6.7% year over year to $3 billion, but missed the street forecast of $3.13 billion. Adjusted EPS dropped 5.6% to $0.51, and came in below analysts’ expectations of $0.67.
Despite the setback, Mosaic’s growth seems hopeful. The management has adjusted its outlook, signaling a path forward. Phosphate production guidance for 2025 is now set at 6.9-7.2 million tons, while potash output has been increased to 9.3-9.5 million tons.
Looking ahead to Q3, phosphate prices are expected between $700-$720 per ton, offering a boost to both revenue and investor sentiment. These updates suggest the company is regaining momentum and positioning itself for a stronger performance in the months ahead.
To put MOS’s outperformance in context, its rival CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) has gained 8% over the past year and 7.4% so far in 2025, underscoring MOS’ stronger motion in the industry.
Analysts remain optimistic on MOS, with 17 covering the stock and giving a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy.” The mean price target sits at $40.69, suggesting potential upside of 13.2% from current levels and reflecting confidence in the company’s outlook.
On the date of publication, Anushka Mukherjee did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
