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FourFourTwo
Sport
Joe Donnohue

How far can the USA go at the 2026 World Cup? Hugely favourable route to semi-finals revealed

USMNT winger Christian Pulisic was brilliant in their 4-1 win over Paraguay.

As the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup nears its conclusion, the United States Men’s National Team (USMNT) have positioned themselves strongly for a deep tournament run on home soil.

Following a pair of convincing victories, a clearer picture of the team's potential knockout route has emerged, fuelling optimism among American 'soccer' fans.

The USMNT opened their campaign with a 4-1 victory over Paraguay at Los Angeles Stadium, establishing early control of Group D.

USMNT handed favourable route to World Cup semi-final

Flo Balogun scores for the US at the 2026 World Cup (Image credit: Getty Images)

Mauricio Pochettino's squad followed that performance with a 2-0 win against Australia at Seattle Stadium.

Securing six points from their opening two matches has guaranteed advancement to the Round of 32 as group winners and generated a more bullish outlook regarding the team's ceiling this summer.

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The bracket configuration suggests the Americans have avoided several traditional footballing powerhouses in the initial knockout rounds.

The USMNT's projected path to the semi-finals shapes up as follows:

Round of 32: The USA are slated to face Bosnia and Herzegovina as it stands, who are expected to finish third in Group B.

Round of 16: A victory in the opening knockout game would move the USMNT into a fixture against either New Zealand or Czechia.

Quarter-Final: The competition intensifies in the final eight, where the winner of the previous round will face one of four potential sides: DR Congo, Ghana, Uruguay, or Austria.

USMNT boss Mauricio Pochettino (Image credit: Getty Images)

While a potential quarter-final clash against a team like Uruguay or a disciplined Austria side would present a stern tactical test, the consensus indicates that the USMNT have landed on the more favourable side of the tournament bracket.

With two wins already secured and a clear, navigable path, Pochettino's men remain on track to meet, and potentially exceed, pre-tournament expectations of reaching the quarter-finals.

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