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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Neal Ascherson

History replays like a half-forgotten song, but once we remember, it’s far too late

Russian President Vladimir Putin, ‘a psychopathic dictator swaddled from reality in fantasies of geopolitical revenge’.
Russian President Vladimir Putin, ‘a psychopathic dictator swaddled from reality in fantasies of geopolitical revenge’. Photograph: Andrey Gorshkov/SPUTNIK/AFP/Getty Images

‘War comes very early to the theatre,” said the Soviet writer Ilya Ehrenburg. “Then he stands around waiting in the wings.” This time too. For a few years, there has been something, somebody, moving in the shadow of the stage curtain. Only a few people felt they recognised it.

But language noticed. Even 10 years ago, big-power war in Europe was “unthinkable these days. Do try and keep up!” Then, somehow, it became “well, in theory, but just utterly unlikely”. So, thinkable again. Hard to say when that mental border was crossed; perhaps after the Yugoslav wars, perhaps in 2014 when Vladimir Putin annexed Crimea and sponsored proxy war in the Donbas region. And now they ask: “What sort of European war is this going to be? And how nuclear? And where will the next one start?”

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