Is it over before it begins? The question of whether Donald Trump has already secured the 2024 GOP nomination or if it is still up for grabs has been a topic of much speculation. While opinions may differ, analyzing the data tells a compelling story.
According to a recent Wall Street Journal article by Peggy Noonan, she refuses to believe that the story is already over and emphasizes that the voting process has just commenced. Nate Cohn from The New York Times adds that even though Chris Christie dropped out of the race, there is room for other candidates to gain momentum, citing historical precedents of surging candidates making significant gains in the final days. Additionally, the upcoming New Hampshire primary holds the potential to be a game-changer as independents can vote in the GOP primary, and recent Gallup data shows that 43% of Americans consider themselves independent, making them the largest political bloc in the country.