Following President Joe Biden's decision to end his reelection campaign and endorse Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee, early polling data sheds light on how a potential Harris for President campaign might fare against former President Donald Trump in the upcoming presidential race.
Recent polling conducted before Biden's announcement indicates that Harris could potentially improve on Biden's standing in the race. In a late June poll, Harris garnered 45% support among registered voters nationwide, while Trump received 47%, resulting in a close race within the margin of sampling error. In comparison, Biden trailed Trump by 6 points in the same poll.
Key Findings:
- Women: Harris secured the support of 50% of women registered voters, outperforming Biden who only received 44% support. Among suburban women, Harris led with 55% support compared to Biden's 49%.
- Independents: Harris and Trump split political independents evenly, with 43% supporting Harris and 40% Trump. Biden, on the other hand, trailed Trump by 10 points among independents.
- Voters of Color: Harris received strong support from voters of color, with 58% favoring her over Trump. In comparison, Biden received 54% support from this group.
- Younger Voters: While Harris performed better among younger voters than Biden, her support in the poll still fell below the levels seen by Democratic candidates in recent cycles.
These early polling numbers suggest that Harris could potentially present a formidable challenge to Trump in the presidential race, particularly among key demographics such as women, independents, and voters of color. As the campaign progresses, further polling data will provide more insights into the evolving dynamics of the race.
