The latest New York Times/Siena College polls reveal a neck-and-neck competition between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in the seven crucial states that could determine the outcome of this year's presidential election.
Across Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Nevada, and Arizona, Harris and Trump are locked in margin of error races, with no clear advantage for either candidate.
When factoring in third-party candidates, the polls show a dead heat in Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, while Harris holds a slight lead in Wisconsin and North Carolina, and Trump narrowly leads in Arizona.
Notably, late deciding voters in these states appear to be leaning towards Harris, with 55% of those who made up their minds in the last few days or weeks supporting her compared to 44% for Trump.
The surveys also indicate a shift in voter priorities as the election approaches. In Wisconsin, abortion is now as significant an issue as the economy, while immigration concerns are on the rise in Arizona. Across all seven states, the economy remains the top issue for 24% of voters, followed by abortion at 18%, immigration at 15%, and democracy at 8%.
Conducted between October 24 and November 2, the polls have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 1.3 percentage points when combined across all states.
