Get all your news in one place.
100's of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
The Independent UK
The Independent UK
World
Josh Marcus

Goldman Sachs says it will forecast recession if most of Trump’s tariffs take effect

Goldman Sachs has again increased the possibility of a recession beginning in the next 12 months, with the investment bank warning on Sunday that its recession odds would hike even further if all of Donald Trump’s planned tariffs take effect this week.

“If so, we expect to change our forecast to a recession,” the Wall Street giant wrote in a research note. It also forecast a 45 percent chance of a recession even if a “large reduction” in Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff rates takes place.

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100's of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
Already a member? Sign in here
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.