As soon as the attacks on Iran started, the warnings commenced: “Get ready for price shocks. Get ready for the oil price to spike. Oh, no need to get ready – it’s already hit $100 a barrel. Get ready for Russia to claw some circuitous but massive advantage from the fact that everything is on fire, get ready for energy bills to go up.” By about day five, experts were explaining how to lock in your current tariff except, whoops, given the global instability, those tariffs were no longer available. If it felt mercenary to worry about your unit price as people were dying, that’s because it was; but considerations of human decency and proportionality aren’t going to arrest the trajectory of life getting more expensive.
Get ready for everything to feed into everything else: rising petrol prices to lead to food inflation, food inflation to lead to stuff inflation. Get ready for wages to be unequal to the cost of living, get ready not to complain about it because you’re lucky to have a wage. Get ready for stock exchanges to crash, get ready to not be entirely sure what scale of economic disaster you’re looking at.
