German Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Social Democrats (SPD) have emerged victorious in the state election in Brandenburg, fending off the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) in a closely watched contest. The SPD, which has governed the state since reunification in 1990, secured 31.8% of the vote, surpassing the AfD's 29.2% according to exit polls.
The success for the SPD in Brandenburg is seen as a significant comeback, providing Chancellor Scholz with a boost amid discussions about his candidacy for the upcoming federal election. However, the victory may not translate into a major nationwide surge for the party, as the popular incumbent SPD premier Dietmar Woidke distanced himself from Scholz during the campaign.
Notably, three-quarters of SPD voters in Brandenburg cast their ballots to prevent the AfD from gaining ground, reflecting the prevailing political climate. Voter turnout increased to 73% from 61% in the previous election, indicating heightened engagement among the electorate.
Nationally, the SPD is polling at 15%, trailing behind the AfD and conservative opposition parties. The coalition government led by Chancellor Scholz has faced criticism for internal discord and its handling of immigration issues, particularly in the East where concerns about Russia's invasion of Ukraine have resonated strongly.
The recent state election results underscore the shifting political landscape in Germany, with the far-right AfD making gains in various regions. The emergence of new political players like the leftist Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht further complicates predictions for future elections.
While the Greens narrowly missed the threshold to enter the state parliament in Brandenburg, the Free Democrats' performance was deemed insignificant in the latest poll. The AfD's continued momentum and appeal to young voters signal ongoing challenges for mainstream parties across Europe.
Overall, the outcome of the Brandenburg state election reflects the complex dynamics shaping German politics and sets the stage for a closely contested federal election next year.