TCU’s Horned Frogs won’t win the national championship because they can’t duplicate what Ohio State did to Georgia’s defense in the Peach Bowl. TCU can put up a lot of points, but no college team is as good with the ball as Ohio State. After the Buckeyes scored 41 points against Georgia, TCU won’t top 30 points when it matters in the College Football Playoff Championship game.
That’s my view of how things will play out Monday in Southern California. It seems to be the consensus opinion. Georgia was favored by 13.5 points at most sportsbooks as of Tuesday afternoon, with an over/under of 62.5 points. If the point spread holds, it will be the largest in nine CFP title games. Alabama was favored by nine points over Ohio State in 2021 and won 52-24.
Maybe the Bulldogs won’t blow out the Horned Frogs. But they’ll beat them, and this time, it won’t come down to the final play at the stroke of midnight (Mountain time in this case). Still, it’s hard not to have a little bit of doubt about my forecast. How can I not after Georgia’s great defense has been below average in its past two games?
