As France prepares for its upcoming elections, experts predict a significant move towards conservatism, potentially resulting in the most right-leaning parliament since WWII. The shift is attributed to various factors, including discontent with immigration policies, economic challenges, rising living costs, and dissatisfaction with the current centrist government, particularly among younger voters.
According to political adviser Matthew Tyrmand, France is experiencing a notable rightward trend, driven by public frustration with issues such as high youth unemployment, increasing crime rates, and perceived neglect by the ruling elite. The recent success of the right-leaning National Rally in the European Union elections further underscores this shift, with the party securing the largest share of votes.
Concerns over immigration, particularly related to security and social welfare costs, have fueled anti-immigrant sentiments among voters. Instances of violence and instability, including terrorist attacks, have heightened anxieties and contributed to a push for stricter immigration policies.
Economically, France has faced challenges under the current centrist administration, with a cost-of-living crisis and high youth unemployment rates. Despite these difficulties, experts suggest that the economy may be poised for improvement, driven by increased government spending and potential EU-level initiatives.
In the lead-up to the elections, support for the National Rally remains strong, especially among younger and rural voters. The party's appeal to the youth demographic, led by figures like Jordan Bardella, has garnered significant traction, reminiscent of past political movements that resonated with younger generations.
While the prospect of a National Rally-led parliament looms, analysts believe that France's relationship with the EU and the Eurozone is unlikely to face significant upheaval. Even in the event of a right-wing victory, the country's commitment to the monetary union is expected to remain intact.
As the election approaches, the political landscape in France reflects a growing shift towards conservative ideologies, driven by a combination of socio-economic concerns and disillusionment with the status quo.