Summary of the day
Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) and its allies won 33% of the vote in Sunday’s first round of France’s snap legislative elections, fuelling fears at home and abroad about the rise of the far right.
The leftwing New Popular Front alliance (NFP) got 28%, while president Emmanuel Macron’s centrist bloc came third with 22% of the vote.
Most of the 577 seats in the national assembly will now be decided in a second-round runoff on Sunday.
Rival parties were engaged in frantic bargaining and tactical voting plans on Monday in an attempt to stop the far right’s rise.
Le Monde published an editorial warning that “the far right is on the doorstep of power.” The paper said that “only the formation of a powerful republican front can stand in the way of a party which, despite all its concealments, remains highly dangerous.”
The RN president, Jordan Bardella, published a letter to the French people in which he sets out the party’s strategy for mobilising voters in the second round: focusing on spending power and making ends meet, while warning against the left — who it will face in numerous run-offs.
Bruno Le Maire, the economy minister and Macron ally, said this morning that “for me, France Unbowed is a danger for the nation, just as the National Rally is a danger for the Republic.”
France’s Unbowed’s Eric Coquerel, meanwhile, argued that “all those who continue in the former majority to put a line of equality between LFI [France Unbowed] and the RN [National Rally] affirm that for them, it is not a problem to give the majority to the RN.”
Clément Beaune, a Macron ally, has pointed to the upcoming British election in his plea for France not to turn to the far right. “At a time when our British friends are about to turn the page from demagogic nationalism, let’s not dive into it. Coming out of it is long and painful,” he said.
Donald Tusk, the Polish prime minister, has issued a warning about the far right. “They love Putin, money and power without control. And they are already in power or are reaching for it in the East or West of Europe,” he said.
Spain’s socialist prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, described Sunday’s French election results as a warning
The German foreign minister, Annalena Baerbock, said “it cannot leave anyone unmoved if, in our own country, for example in the European elections, or in our closest partner and best friend, a party that sees Europe as the problem and not the solution is far ahead.”
Le Monde has published an editorial warning that “the far right is on the doorstep of power.”
The situation is made all the more dangerous by the fact that there are barely six days left to avoid the worst – preventing the RN from gaining an absolute majority in the Assemblée Nationale.
Only the formation of a powerful republican front can stand in the way of a party which, despite all its concealments, remains highly dangerous because its policies are based on “national preference,” a concept that amounts to classifying people according to where they come from.
The editorial also criticised Emmanuel Macron’s camp and the centre right not allied with the National Rally for unclear messaging.
In view of the gravity of the situation, this kind of complacency is unforgivable: It contributes to trivializing the vote in favor of the far right, at a time when there is very little time left to attempt to build the ultimate wake-up, by calling on all the values of the French Republic.
On Sunday, July 7, what is at stake is not just a transfer of power – it may be a tipping point.
The far right National Rally’s Jordan Bardella has posted a photo portraying Emmanuel Macron as an ally of the left.
— Jordan Bardella (@J_Bardella) July 1, 2024
The mayor of Nice, Christian Estrosi, has condemned an attack on the security guard of a Jewish school.
Je veux dénoncer l’agression du vigile d’une école israélite de Nice qui était intervenu contre des individus ayant insultés des enfants sortant de l’établissement. Les agents de notre centre de supervision sont mobilisés pour retrouver les auteurs.
— Christian Estrosi (@cestrosi) July 1, 2024
In Corrèze, former president François Hollande was in the lead yesterday but will be going into a three-way runoff next Sunday.
En Corrèze, le candidat LR ne se désiste pas face à François Hollande pour le second tour des élections législatives pic.twitter.com/G4YL3VPnYE
— BFMTV (@BFMTV) July 1, 2024
The highest turnout rate yesterday was among French voters over the age of 65, according to an IFOP study.
Here’s the latest from IFOP on yesterday’s high turnout of 66.7%, compared to 47.5% in 2022.
Etude @Ifopopinion pour @TF1 et @LCI : Elections législatives 2024, participation et structuration des électorats
— Ifop Opinion (@IfopOpinion) July 1, 2024
👉Le taux de participation au 1e tour s’élève à 66,7% (France entière), contre 47,5% en 2022, soit une progression significative de 19,2 points pic.twitter.com/XTawuBFge3
Here are some thoughts from Ngaire Woods, professor of global economic governance and dean at Oxford University’s Blavatnik School of Government.
The striking shift to the far-right amongst young people, enabling parties like National Rally in France to make significant gains, has led global politicians to strengthen their stance on issues like immigration.
But this does not account for one of the most powerful driving forces behind this new youth politics of disaffection – a sense of betrayal by establishment politicians. While older generations consume a swelling share of government budgets through pensions and social care, young people across Europe face shrinking economic prospects and insecure employment.
While some progress has been made in reducing youth unemployment - in France it has decreased from 25% in 2016 to 15.7% in 2023 - there is far more to be done to win back young voters.
Politicians must now consider both their message and their medium, harnessing social media as a tool for broader engagement rather than simply announcement, fostering dialogue rather than treating it as a focus group. As we see in Bardella’s rise to power through TikTok, powerful movements can be mobilised when young people feel heard. Politicians must give them reasons for hope on the horizon and engage in the digital channels where they find information and expression.
The far right Hungarian government is celebrating the Macron camp’s poor performance in Sunday’s vote.
“Biden, Macron… change is coming,” wrote Balázs Orbán, the Hungarian prime minister’s political director in a social media post.
Biden, Macron… #change is coming. ’Spontaneously and simultaneously, the voters of the #West are rising up to repudiate their leaders.’ But not everywhere: @PM_ViktorOrban and @realDonaldTrump are two great exceptions!
— Balázs Orbán (@BalazsOrban_HU) July 1, 2024
🌐For the first time since the Treaty of Westphalia,… pic.twitter.com/KhA9UcrdP7
German foreign minister expresses concern about French far right's performance
The German foreign minister, Annalena Baerbock, has expressed concern over the far right National Rally’s gains in France, Reuters reported.
“It cannot leave anyone unmoved if, in our own country, for example in the European elections, or in our closest partner and best friend, a party that sees Europe as the problem and not the solution is far ahead,” she said.
Sylvie Casenave-Péré, a candidate from Macron’s camp, has withdrawn from a three-way race where Marine Le Pen’s sister, Marie-Caroline Le Pen, was in the lead in the first round.
The other candidate, Élise Leboucher, represents France Unbowed.
— Sylvie Casenave-Péré (@sylviecasenave) July 1, 2024
Updated
France Unbowed’s Clémentine Autain said that the “neither nor” approach of some centrists who are opposed to voting both for the National Rally (RN) and France Unbowed (LFI) “has only one winner: the far right.”
🗣️ "Le ni-ni ne fait qu'un seul vainqueur : l'extrême droite. La première responsabilité est du côté de la macronie"
— franceinfo (@franceinfo) July 1, 2024
💬 Clémentine Autain, députée LFI réélue#ElectionsLegislatives2024 pic.twitter.com/hIv5ZZkJdC
Christelle Morançais, regional council president for the Pays de la Loire, has said that in case of a faceoff between the National Rally and the New Popular Front “my personal position is clear: blank vote.”
🗣️Je vais être claire. En cas de duel RN/Nouveau Front Populaire, ma position personnelle est nette : vote blanc. #legislatives2024 pic.twitter.com/VI0PRcQO3p
— Christelle MORANÇAIS (@C_MORANCAIS) July 1, 2024
Clément Beaune, a Macron ally, has pointed to the upcoming British election in his plea for France not to turn to the far right.
“At a time when our British friends are about to turn the page from demagogic nationalism, let’s not dive into it. Coming out of it is long and painful,” he said.
J’adresse mes félicitations républicaines à Emmanuel Grégoire, élu député.
— Clément Beaune (@CBeaune) July 1, 2024
Je remercie infiniment les électeurs et habitants de la 7ème circonscription de Paris, ma suppléante, les militants et l’équipe exceptionnels qui m’ont accompagné.
Je suis fier d’avoir été votre député.…
Polish leader warns of far right's rise in Europe
Donald Tusk, the Polish prime minister, has issued a warning about the far right.
“They love Putin, money and power without control. And they are already in power or are reaching for it in the East or West of Europe,” he wrote on social media.
“They are joining ranks in the European Parliament. In Poland, we reversed this fatal tide at the very last moment. Let’s not waste it,” he added.
They love Putin, money and power without control. And they are already in power or are reaching for it in the East or West of Europe. They are joining ranks in the European Parliament. In Poland, we reversed this fatal tide at the very last moment. Let’s not waste it.
— Donald Tusk (@donaldtusk) July 1, 2024
Updated
A big debate following the first round is the role of the controversial France Unbowed (LFI) party, which forms part of the left wing New Popular Front alliance.
Bruno Le Maire, the economy minister and Macron ally, said this morning that “for me, France Unbowed is a danger for the nation, just as the National Rally is a danger for the Republic.”
France’s Unbowed’s Eric Coquerel argued that “all those who continue in the former majority to put a line of equality between LFI [France Unbowed] and the RN [National Rally] affirm that for them, it is not a problem to give the majority to the RN.”
"Pour moi, la France Insoumise est un danger pour la nation, comme le Rassemblement national est un danger pour la République", plaide @BrunoLeMaire. #le710Inter pic.twitter.com/7WCYlmXtzK
— France Inter (@franceinter) July 1, 2024
Tous ceux qui continuent dans l’ex majorité à mettre un trait d'égalité entre LFI et le RN affirment que pour eux, ce n'est pas un problème de donner la majorité au RN.
— Eric Coquerel (@ericcoquerel) July 1, 2024
Je demande à leurs électeurs, est-ce que cela les préoccupe que le pays soit gouverné par des racistes ? pic.twitter.com/vQeWQtQoKd
Updated
“Am I to understand that you don’t dare debate with me?” wrote Marine Tondelier, national secretary of Europe Ecology – The Greens, in response to the far right National Rally’s Jordan Bardella.
Bardella said he is ready to debate with France Unbowed’s Jean-Luc Mélenchon, but Tondelier said it was her turn to represent the New Popular Front.
Monsieur @J_Bardella ,
— Marine Tondelier (@marinetondelier) July 1, 2024
Nous nous sommes réparti les débats au sein du #NouveauFronPopulaire.
Après @mbompard et @faureolivier , c’est à mon tour de représenter notre coalition au 3e débat.
Dois-je comprendre que vous n’osez pas débattre avec moi ?#NouveauFrontRépublicain https://t.co/zwLwQQLEOB
Le Monde’s front page today speaks volumes. Brown shows where the National Rally came first in the first round (many constituencies will now go to a second-round run-off).
🗞️ A la une du 𝕸𝖔𝖓𝖉𝖊 pic.twitter.com/VZ6iHCogbN
— Le Monde (@lemondefr) July 1, 2024
Updated
Paul Taylor, a senior visiting fellow at the European Policy Centre, has just written this sobering opinion piece for the Guardian. In it, he looks at the national and international consequences of Macron’s gamble.
President Emmanuel Macron’s gamble of dissolving parliament and seeking a “clarification” from voters after an ultra-short three-week campaign backfired spectacularly on his own supporters …
The Macron era is over, even if the president stays in the Élysée palace until his term ends in 2027. The electorate overwhelmingly rejected him for the second time in a month. His hold on both domestic and European policy will be seriously diminished, whatever the outcome of next week’s run-offs.
France, a founder member and driving force in the European Union, a G7 economy, nuclear power and permanent member of the UN security council, is set to become a more awkward, inwardly focused partner in EU and Nato negotiations, a less enthusiastic supporter of Ukraine and a brake on further European integration.
Whether the RN wins an absolute majority in next Sunday’s second round and Jordan Bardella, Le Pen’s 28-year-old protege, becomes prime minister, or whether it falls short and France endures a period of instability with a hung parliament, it is only a matter of time now before the Eurosceptic France-first nationalists gets its day in government.
Le Figaro has published an opinion piece that puts the blame for Sunday’s results squarely on Emmanuel Macron and his flawed scheming.
The author of the piece, Alexis Brézet, also suggests that, to his mind, Jordan Bardella’s National Rally (RN) is preferable to Jean-Luc Mélenchon and his far-left colleagues in France Unbowed (LFI).
When historians come to study this dissolution, only one word will suffice: disaster … Emmanuel Macron wanted to unify the central bloc, divide the left and isolate the RN – but all his calculations have proved false …
Who, in good conscience, would want to draw an equivalence between Bardella and Mélenchon? The RN’s programme is certainly worrying in many ways. But what’s on the other side? Antisemitism, Islamo-leftism, class hatred, tax hysteria … Under the dominance of LFI, the New Popular Front is, in fact, the vector of an ideology that would bring dishonour and ruin to the country …
Our columnist Nicolas Baverez recalled recently this sentence from Raymond Aron, a great figure in Le Figaro: ‘The choice in politics is not between good and bad, but between the preferable and the detestable.’ The troubled times we’re entering have shown themselves to be eminently Aronian.
Célia Belin, head of Paris office and senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations think tank, has sent over some thoughts on Sunday’s results.
In short, the gamble has backfired. Massively.
Macron’s decision to call snap elections amounted to self-sabotage, accelerating the rise of the far-right in French politics by months or even years. Macron did not rise to his 2017 and 2022 promise that he will be a bulwark against the far right.
High turnout and fewer candidates led to an unprecedented number of three-way contests in the second round. The Nouveau Front Populaire unanimously announced they will systematically withdraw their candidates when in third position and endorse the non-RN alternative, aiming to prevent RN wins.
Macron’s camp has refused to do the same on a systematic basis due to the presence of La France Insoumise candidates in some cases, establishing a moral equivalency between Melenchon’s and Le Pen’s parties. This, in turn, may increase anti-RN voters’ confusion about the best course of action.
Even if there is a surge on the left and center between the first and second rounds, deep divisions and animosity between Macron’s camp, Les Républicains, and the Nouveau Front Populaire make an “alternative majority” governing from the center improbable.
In power, Macron has been unable to compromise or build a governing coalition with the right or negotiate on his platform. Instead, the far-right’s overwhelming surge, combined with a small but resilient grouping of Les Républicains, suggests the most likely majority will be in this camp.
Germany’s chancellor, Olaf Scholz, and his cabinet are respecting the unofficial ban on commenting on foreign elections in the immediate aftermath of the RN’s bombshell success.
However other influential politicians have weighed in to express their shock, with Michael Roth of Scholz’s Social Democrats laying some of the blame for the far right’s triumph at the feet of the German government.
“We didn’t ask ourselves enough how we could better support the pro-European liberal president, Macron,” Roth, the chairman of parliament’s foreign affairs committee, told the German edition of Politico.
“We don’t show enough consideration to the political debates and problems of other countries,” he added, noting that the alternative to Macron “is indeed no longer Sarkozy but rather a hard-right nationalist like Marine Le Pen”.
If she gains power, “that would have dramatic consequences for us. France is the heart of united Europe. If that heart doesn’t beat robustly, the EU could have a heart attack”.
Sebastian Fischer of news magazine Der Spiegel said Macron’s high-stakes gamble had clearly blown up in his face, comparing his attempt to call French voters’ bluff after the European parliament elections with the snap poll to the behaviour of a “child with a tantrum”.
“That is the situation our closest ally, friend and partner is in, without whom a united Europe as we know it can’t work. The bursts of shellfire are getting closer,” Fischer said with an eye to the rise of Germany’s leading far-right party, the Alternative für Deutschland.
Meanwhile, Die Zeit foreign affairs correspondent Jörg Lau compared Macron’s reckless roll of the dice to the Brexit gamble of David Cameron when he was UK prime minister.
Writing sarcastically on X, Lau joked: “Emmanuel #Macron to join ‘David Cameron Political Consulting’ strategy firm after French snap election backfired with massive win by Marine Le Pen’s Rassemblement National.”
Breaking: Emmanuel #Macron to join „David Cameron Political Consulting“ strategy firm after French snap election backfired with massive win by Marine Le Pen’s Rassemblement National
— Joerg Lau (@joerglau) June 30, 2024
Raphaël Glucksmann, who headed the Socialist party’s candidates in the European elections last month, has issued a full-throated plea for all the candidates who finished third on Sunday to withdraw in order to build a united barrier against the far right.
History is looking at us and judging us tonight, and each one of us must take responsibility. This is no longer just a legislative election: it’s a referendum. Do we – yes or no – want the far right to take power at the ballot box for the first time? That is the only question that matters. All political identities – left and right – melt away in the face of that dizzying question.
Are we ready to hand over our country – the country of Victor Hugo, of Voltaire, of Rabelais – to the Le Pen family? That’s the only question that matters. It’s become a referendum and that’s why we’re asking all the third-place candidates to withdraw immediately, and why we’re asking people to vote, unambiguously and unhesitatingly, for democratic republicans whether they be on the left or the right, in order to stop the National Rally. We have seven days to avoid a catastrophe the likes of which France has never known in its history.
🔴 🗣 "Voulons-nous oui ou non que le Rassemblement national prenne le pouvoir ?"
— Info France 2 (@infofrance2) June 30, 2024
Raphaël Glucksmann (NFP-Place Publique) appelle "tous les candidats arrivés en troisième position derrière le Rassemblement national" dans les triangulaires à "se désister" pour faire barrage. pic.twitter.com/gsNj3My4Ts
The president of the far-right National Rally (RN), Jordan Bardella, has published a letter to the French people in which he sets out the party’s strategy for mobilising voters in the second round: focusing on spending power and making ends meet, while warning against the left — who it will face in numerous run-offs.
Most of the letter is given over to what Bardella calls the dangers of leftwing figure Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Mélenchon is a divisive personality in France, but other key figures on the left said on Monday morning that Mélenchon was not a candidate for prime minister and was not the focus of the final round.
Bardella, who will be prime minister if the RN gains an absolute majority, said the left were “agents of chaos” who must be stopped and who pose an “existential threat to the French nation”. He said that, by contrast, the RN would bring “order to the streets” and to the public purse. He said the focus of the campaign would be the cost of living, security, health, school and immigration.
La France est à l’heure des choix. Soit l’extrême-gauche et la menace existentielle qu’elle constitue, soit l’Union nationale autour de nos valeurs et de notre identité.
— Jordan Bardella (@J_Bardella) July 1, 2024
Je vous appelle à amplifier la mobilisation.
Ma lettre aux Français ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/J1uUYEq6nC
Spain’s socialist prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, has described Sunday’s French election results as a warning. In an interview with the Cadena Ser radio network on Monday morning, he said:
The advance of the far right in France isn’t unconnected with what’s happening in other parts of the world – including in Spain – where we’re seeing how, directly or indirectly … the far right is advancing institutionally and in the opinion polls.
But Sánchez added that his own government was proof that progressive politics can still win out (his socialist party and its leftwing allies managed to secure a new term in office after the conservative People’s party finished first in last summer’s general election but failed to win enough support to take office – even with the backing of the far-right Vox party).
Like Macron, Sánchez also gambled by calling a snap poll in response to his party’s poor electoral showing (in regional and municipal elections) and framing it as a choice between progressive politics and the regressive politics of the far right.
But Sánchez’s gamble paid off – albeit at the cost of offering Catalan separatist parties a deeply controversial amnesty …
The Spanish PM added:
I don’t take the victory of the French far right as a given. I think everything will depend on the socialist party, on its strength and on the unity of the left. There’s also a lesson from Spain there … You always beat the far right by governing and bringing in progressive policies that, one-by-one, give the lie to all the fake news that it spreads.
Updated
France’s finance minister, Bruno Le Maire, has ruled out calling on voters to choose a far-left candidate from the France Unbowed (LFI) party – even if that was the only realistic option to stop a candidate from the far-right National Rally (RN) party.
The RN scored historic gains to win the first round of France’s parliamentary election, but whether it can reach an absolute majority in the National Assembly will depend on days of alliance-building before next week’s run-off vote.
Leaders from the left and Macron’s centrist bloc said they would withdraw their own candidates in districts where another candidate was better placed to beat the far right.
“LFI is a danger for the nation,” Le Maire told France Inter radio, adding that while he’d encourage voters to pick candidates from other leftwing parties in places where a centrist candidate pulled out of the race, he’d “never” call for voting LFI. (Via Reuters)
A bit here from Reuters on the financial reaction to the National Rally’s (RN) resounding win:
A longtime pariah for many in France, the RN is now closer to power than it has ever been. Le Pen has sought to clean up the image of a party known for racism and antisemitism, a tactic that has worked amid voter anger at Macron, the high cost of living and growing concerns over immigration.
An RN-led government would raise major questions over where the European Union was headed, given its resistance to further EU integration. Economists have also asked whether its spending plans are fully funded.
The euro touched a two-week high during Asian trading on Monday on market relief the RN had not done better.
I think it’s a slight ‘well, there were no surprises’, so there was a sense of relief there,” said Fiona Cincotta, senior markets analyst at City Index.
The gains by the far-right National Rally (RN) were described as staggering by pollsters and political analysts. The party is on track to become the dominant force in parliament, whether or not it reaches an absolute majority of 289 seats.
The party took more than 10m votes in the first round of parliament elections on Sunday night — more than double its 4.2m votes in the parliament elections only two years ago in 2022. It also considerably increased its showing from the 7.7m votes it took in European elections only a few weeks ago.
The RN’s vote share of 33% was even greater than the high score of Emmanuel Macron’s centrists in parliament in 2017 after Macron swept to power.
Meanwhile, Macron’s centrists are now facing what one pollster called “catastrophe”. They are relegated to third place – behind the left – and are set to lose more than half their seats, shrinking from 250 to less than 100. “It’s a defeat,” said Macron’s economy minister Bruno Le Maire, speaking of “a lot of sadness”.
A bit more – very bleak – analysis here from Mujtaba Rahman, managing director Europe of risk consultancy Eurasia Group. See his earlier comments here.
Whatever happens next Sunday, the *best case* scenario for France from here - a G7 member, permanent member of UN, a key member of & driving force in the EU & a leading force in the pro-Ukraine camp - is that it will be largely rudderless for a year 1/2
— Mujtaba Rahman (@Mij_Europe) July 1, 2024
Macron has been overwhelmingly repudiated by voters only 2yr after winning a second term in the Elysée. His reputation & 7yr project - to prepare France & the EU for the economic and geopolitical challenges of the 21st century - arguably lies in ruins. Sad day for France & EU 2/2
— Mujtaba Rahman (@Mij_Europe) July 1, 2024
Marine Le Pen’s victory has been applauded by other far-right leaders in Europe. Santiago Abascal, who heads the far-right Vox party across the border in Spain, called it a “victory of hope, freedom and security for the French people”, while André Ventura, leader of Portugal’s Chega party, hailed “a great victory”, adding: “Europe is waking up! Soon, it will be Portugal!”
Matteo Salvini, Italy’s deputy prime minister and the leader of the far-right League party, accused Macron of undemocratic behaviour after the French president called for a united front to head off Le Pen’s National Rally in the second round.
“Shameful Macron who, by calling for ‘blocs’ against the National Rally in the second round, behaves like any other [European Commission president Ursula] Von der Leyen and tries in every way to oppose a change expressed by millions of French people, in Paris and in Brussels,” he wrote on X.
A national vote share is extremely difficult to translate into a projected number of seats in the assemblée nationale. That’s because the final outcome will depend on the results in the constituencies. While pollsters issue seat estimates, France’s polling watchdog does not endorse them.
Here’s a guide to what comes next as voters gear up for the decisive second round of voting on 7 July, when France could decide to give control of its government to the far-right, anti-immigrant party for the first time in its history.
Read on below:
How did French and international media cover the first round of elections?
The French election took second place to an exclusive interview with UK Labour leader Keir Starmer on the Guardian’s front page but still featured in the second slot with the headline, “Far right takes lead in French election”.
Monday’s GUARDIAN: “Labour can stem populist threat by improving lives, says Starmer” #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/9OeSGr2YsK
— Allie Hodgkins-Brown (@AllieHBNews) June 30, 2024
The headline on French daily Le Figaro’s front page reads, “The battle is on between Bardella and Mélenchon” while the editorial below is headed, “French tragedy”.
Retrouvez la Une du «Figaro» du lundi 1er juillet.
— Le Figaro (@Le_Figaro) June 30, 2024
→ https://t.co/zLB9R2vEOu pic.twitter.com/UYU80pxIET
French daily Libération splashes on “After the shock: form the block”
Après le choc : FAIRE BLOC. C'est la une de @Libe lundi.
— Libération (@libe) June 30, 2024
#Législatives2024 pic.twitter.com/kHCrqfEKAw
The Wall Street Journal has a picture of a smiling Marine Le Pen and headlines, “Far Right Wins First Round of French Parliament Election”.
Here is an early look at the front page of The Wall Street Journal https://t.co/Rc1zRvNAtn pic.twitter.com/HQ5ohci5Dt
— The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) July 1, 2024
The UK’s Daily Telegraph, writes “Le Pen: I have wiped out Macron”
📰 The front page of tomorrow's Daily Telegraph:
— The Telegraph (@Telegraph) June 30, 2024
'Le Pen: I have wiped out Macron' #TomorrowsPapersToday
Sign up for the Front Page newsletter👇https://t.co/x8AV4OoUh6 pic.twitter.com/Q6CsobnQBL
Britain’s Financial Times also features a large picture of Le Pen and the headline “Le Pen’s far right defeats Macron in first round of French snap election”.
Introducing #TomorrowsPapersToday from: #FT UK
— #TomorrowsPapersToday From TSC News (@channel_tsc) June 30, 2024
Le Pen’s far right defeats Macron
Check out https://t.co/NNc1XQqHEw for more newspapers. #buyanewspaper #buyapaper #pressfreedom #journalism pic.twitter.com/c1qcUQBtIE
National Rally wins 33% of vote – interior ministry
The far-right National Rally (RN) party and its allies reached 33% of the national popular vote in the first round of parliamentary elections, the interior ministry has said.
The leftwing New Popular Front (NFP) alliance came in second with 28% while President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist Together coalition reached 20%, the ministry said.
The result marks the first time the RN has won more than 20% of the vote in a parliamentary election and puts the party within reach of forming the country’s first ever far-right elected government.
However the final results and the exact makeup of the 577-seat parliament are far from certain and the RN’s chances of winning power will depend on the political dealmaking made by its rivals over the coming days, ahead of Sunday’s second round.
In the past, the traditional right and leftwing parties have struck agreements to stand down candidates from the runoffs to avoid splitting the vote against the RN. But the tactical voting strategy known as the “republican front” to block the RN is less certain than ever.
The leader of the NFP, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, said the leftist alliance would withdraw all its candidates who came third in the first round, saying: “Our guideline is simple and clear: not a single more vote for the National Rally.”
In a written statement, Macron called on voters to rally behind candidates who are “clearly republican and democratic”.
But based on his recent declarations while that would include candidates representing the NFP’s more moderate leftwing parties it would exclude candidates from Mélenchon’s France Unbowed.
Updated
Some photos of the key players from the elections on Saturday:
How has the National Rally reacted to the result?
Marine Le Pen, leader of the RN, said President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist camp had been “almost wiped out”.
Speaking after the polls had closed, Le Pen said French people had shown “in an unambiguous vote … their wish to turn the page on seven years of the disdainful and corrosive [presidency]” of Macron.
Jordan Bardella, the 28-year-old RN party president, said he was ready to be prime minister – if his party wins an absolute majority.
Je serai le garant de vos droits, de vos libertés, et de notre devise républicaine, celle qui unit tout le peuple de France dans une même promesse : liberté, égalité, fraternité.
— Jordan Bardella (@J_Bardella) June 30, 2024
Faites le choix de dirigeants qui vous aiment autant qu'ils aiment la France. #Législatives2024 pic.twitter.com/sgdBICcLtc
He said he wanted to be the “prime minister of all French”, respectful of the constitution in a “cohabitation” with President Emmanuel Macron, but “uncompromising about the policies we will implement”.
“The French people have handed down a clear verdict,” he said.
“Cohabitation” is the word used by the French when the presidency and the prime minister are in opposing camps.
Snap analysis from Mujtaba Rahman, managing director Europe of risk consultancy Eurasia Group, who says that on these numbers, “the far right will struggle to win a majority next Sunday” meaning the National Assembly is likely to become “raucous and close to ungovernable”.
He adds:
Le Pen’s failure to seize power is likely to prove an existential crisis delayed, rather than avoided. Welcome to the New France.
On these numbers, the far right will struggle to win a majority next Sunday. But France's new Assembly is likely to be a raucous & close to ungovernable place - with Le Pen’s RN the biggest group with wide powers of disruption & favourites for a majority in 1 years time 1/2
— Mujtaba Rahman (@Mij_Europe) June 30, 2024
A graph by BFMTV has the final results of the first round here, showing the National Rally with 33.14%, followed by the New Popular Front left-wing alliance on 27.99% and Macron’s centrist Together alliance on 20.76%.
Législatives: voici les résultats définitifs du premier tour pic.twitter.com/RQ1NS8rnhH
— BFMTV (@BFMTV) July 1, 2024
How did individual candidates do?
Sixty-five MPs won their seats outright in the first round, meaning they won more than 50% of the vote in their electorate; these included far-right leader Marine Le Pen, who was re-elected with 58% of the vote in Pas-de-Calais.
The Socialist leader, Olivier Faure, was also re-elected in Seine-et-Marne in the first round.
Other prominent figures to be re-elected included Sandrine Rousseau, an economist and “eco-feminist”; Manuel Bompard, a senior member of the hard-left France Unbowed party (LFI); and Mathilde Panot, LFI president.
Prime minister Gabriel Attal came first with 44% of votes in his electorate of Hauts-de-Seine, but will face a run off as will former prime minister Elisabeth Borne, who came second to a National Rally candidate in Calvados with just 29%.
In northern France, one of the most popular figures on the French left — the head of the Communist party, Fabien Roussel — was knocked out in the first round by the far-right National Rally candidate, Guillaume Florquin.
Former Socialist president Francois Hollande, who surprised voters by announcing his candidacy just two weeks ago, also faces a runoff but won the most votes with 38% in the seat of Corrèze.
Opening summary
Hello and welcome to the Guardian’s live coverage of the French election results with me, Helen Livingstone.
President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist alliance and the left-wing New Popular Front (NFP) coalition have called for tactical voting after the far-right National Rally (RN) won the most votes in a first round of parliamentary elections.
Prime minister Gabriel Attal, who is likely to be forced to resign after the second round, warned that the far right was now at the “gates of power” and said the RN should not get a “single vote” in the second round.
“We have seven days to spare France from catastrophe,” said Raphael Glucksmann, a key figure in the left-wing alliance.
If the RN wins an absolute majority – still seen as a steep challenge – it will be the first time in French history that a far-right party has won a parliamentary election and formed a government and Macron will have to share power with the far-right. If the RN wins the most seats but not a majority, Macron could find himself with a hung parliament unable to govern the EU’s second biggest economy and its top military power.
The French president stunned and bewildered his own government and supporters with his decision this month to dissolve parliament and call snap elections after his centrist, pro-European grouping was trounced by the RN in EU elections.
As the first results came in on Sunday, he insisted in a statement on “the importance of this vote for all our compatriots and the desire to clarify the political situation”.
Here are the key developments so far:
Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally won about 34% of the vote in the first round of legislative elections, exit polls showed, putting it in reach of becoming the biggest political force in the French parliament.
The New Popular Front (NFP), a hastily assembled left-wing coalition, won about 29% of the vote, while President Emmanuel Macron’s Together alliance won between 20.5% and 23% according to exit polls.
Nevertheless, national estimates for the first round may not reflect the final breakdown of seats in the national assembly, which depends on races in constituencies.
Turnout was very high, with pollster Ipsos estimating that 65.8% of eligible voters cast ballots.
Speaking after polls closed, Le Pen said French people had shown “in an unambiguous vote … their wish to turn the page on seven years of the disdainful and corrosive [presidency]” of Macron.
Far-right figures from across Europe congratulated the National Rally.
Sixty-five MPs were elected in the first round – a high number. These included 38 MPs for the far-right National Rally and its alliance with Eric Ciotti of Les Républicains. That figure is more than double the number Le Pen had said she expected.
Pressure was mounting during the evening from left and centrist figures for tactical voting in the second round next Sunday.
Thousands took part in street demonstrations against the far right, including at the Place de la Republique in Paris, where barricades were set on fire and Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of the hard left France Unbowed party, addressed the crowd.
Gabriel Attal, the prime minister and a Macron ally, said “not one single vote” should go to the National Rally. “The stakes are clear: to prevent the National Rally from having an absolute majority,” he said.
Mélenchon said the left alliance would withdraw all its candidates who came third in the first round, saying: “Our guideline is simple and clear: not a single more vote for the National Rally.”
However it is not so clear that Macron’s centrist alliance will do the same. In a written statement, Macron called on voters to rally behind candidates who are “clearly republican and democratic”, which, based on his recent declarations, would include the NFP’s more moderate leftwing parties but exclude candidates from France Unbowed.
Attal had been due to sign a decree on Monday morning introducing new limits on unemployment benefits – a policy that had been attacked by the far right and the left – but decided to suspend the decree.