The Weather Prediction Center has raised the alarm for a rare “high” risk of flash flooding in central Florida, with a level 4 out of 4 warning. The center is cautioning that widespread and life-threatening flash flooding is expected, urging residents to take immediate precautions.
These high-risk warnings are a serious matter, as they are only issued on less than 4% of days each year but account for a significant portion of flood-related damage and fatalities, according to the center.
Forecast models indicate that Tampa and Orlando could see a deluge of 8 to 12 inches of rain by Thursday. For Orlando, this amount would represent approximately two months’ worth of rain, far exceeding the October average of 3.46 inches. Similarly, Tampa could receive more than five months’ worth of rain, surpassing the October average of 2.34 inches.
Several cities in central Florida may also break monthly rainfall records, with Fort Myers and Sarasota on track for their wettest October ever. Tampa could potentially experience its second-wettest October on record.
The combination of heavy rainfall and high storm surge poses a grave threat to the region. The center warns that during high tide and storm surge, drainage will be impeded, exacerbating flooding impacts. With flood watches in effect for nearly 20 million people and storm surge alerts for over 5 million, residents are urged to stay vigilant and prepared.
