As the NFL season progresses, Kalshi’s NFL market continues to push back Fernando Mendoza’s chances of starting. Mendoza has a 25% chance of not starting at all this season. He has a 63% chance of starting between weeks 11-14.
Kalshi offers this market in week spans where you’ll select which range of weeks you think Mendoza will start this season, if any. At his 63% price for starting in weeks 11-14, you’d profit $5.70. Kalshi then settles the market based on whether the official depth chart lists Mendoza as QB1 by those weeks.