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Alex Domash, Research Fellow, Harvard Kennedy School

Fed hopes for ‘soft landing’ for the US economy, but history suggests it won’t be able to prevent a recession

A soft landing may out of the Fed’s reach. Oliver Furrer/Stone Getty Images

The Federal Reserve will likely soon learn what gymnasts already know: sticking a landing is hard.

With inflation surging to a new 40-year high and continuing to accelerate, the Fed is expected to lift interest rates by a half-percentage point at the end of its next meeting on May 4, 2022. It will be the second of seven planned rate hikes in 2022 – following a quarter-point increase in March – as the Fed tries to cool consumer demand and slow rising prices.

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